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	<title>Bill Swadley Blog</title>
	<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com</link>
	<description>"Our doubts are traitors, and make us lose the good we oft might win, by fearing to attempt." - Shakespeare</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 21:35:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>To Live and Teach in L.A.</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/10/to-live-and-teach-in-la/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/10/to-live-and-teach-in-la/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 16:22:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/10/to-live-and-teach-in-la/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[First published at The Huffington Post on December 9, 2009. 
One of my closest friends, a brilliant, gifted, dedicated teacher at California State University, Los Angeles, was recently informed that because of budget cuts she is to be laid-off. In my conversations with her over the past few months (she knew this might be coming) [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-swadley/to-live-and-teach-in-la_b_357603.html" target="_blank">First published at The Huffington Post on December 9, 2009. </a></em></p>
<p><a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/simpsons_teach.jpg" title="simpsons_teach.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/simpsons_teach.jpg" title="simpsons_teach.jpg" alt="simpsons_teach.jpg" align="right" border="1" height="182" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="278" /></a>One of my closest friends, a brilliant, gifted, dedicated teacher at California State University, Los Angeles, was recently informed that because of budget cuts she is to be laid-off. In my conversations with her over the past few months (she knew this might be coming) something became very clear to me.  It would appear that “we the people” of California would rather take money out of the pockets of the most important and egregiously underpaid professionals in our society than pay a little more in taxes.</p>
<p>Teachers in California are being forced either off the payroll entirely or are being given so few classes to teach that they will need to find other work to supplement their already abysmal salaries. With unemployment in the Los Angeles area topping 10%, this is a sorry prospect for them indeed.</p>
<p>So rather than hit up the wealthiest Californians and most successful California businesses (like the oil companies) for a little extra dough they’d never miss, our representatives in Sacramento along with the Govenator are hacking furiously away at the public school system and other vital social services as if every well-off Californian has made it clear that they are unwilling to have their taxes increase by even the smallest amount.</p>
<p>I‘ve lived in California my entire life. I do well and don’t pay much state income tax (never have), yet I watch year-after-year as a supposedly liberal state congress led by a usually centrist governor fight and wrangle as they allow education and social services to suffer at the effect of budgetary deficiencies. Does anyone making more that a teacher’s salary in this state really think it’s fair for those worse-off than they are to carry the burden of our current economic downturn?  Obviously our lawmakers do, but they’re not representing me in this, that’s for certain.</p>
<p>This isn’t just about dollars and cents or teachers’ salaries, either. Along with cuts to education come  higher fees and fewer classes offered to students who can barely afford their current curriculum. It will cost them far more now and take a great deal more time to graduate. These people are the future wage-earners of the state. It doesn’t take an economist to tell you that the higher one’s level of education, the higher one’s earnings tend to be. It’s a no-brainer. People who earn more pay more in taxes and spend more in the economy. This is good for Caaleefoarneea, Arnold!</p>
<p>But for those who are in charge, raising taxes on the oil companies or the wealthiest businesses and  individuals in the state (and there are a great many of them) is entirely out of the question. Even though young teachers who have recently entered the teaching profession are losing their jobs. Even though Education graduates have no prospects whatsoever as they exit even the best universities with high honors. Even though everyone is in agreement that a well-educated populace has a positive effect on absolutely every aspect of the quality of life of a community.</p>
<p>Every state in the country is suffering along these lines. Many are much worse-off than California because they don’t have a ridiculously wealthy mother-lode of residents and companies to even consider tapping.   Schwarzenegger has the magic wand in his thick fingers that could readily alleviate all the financial woes the state currently faces.</p>
<p>The California Legislature needs to stop catering to the greedy, ivory tower residents that would put the likes of Meg Whitman in the governor’s mansion. They need to stop punishing the people at the bottom and in the middle with regressive tax schemes and unconscionable budget cuts by representing everyone in this state, not just their peers.</p>
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		<title>Sarah Palin: Liberal Media Victim or Actually Not Qualified?</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/08/sarah-palin-liberal-media-victim-or-actually-not-qualified/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/08/sarah-palin-liberal-media-victim-or-actually-not-qualified/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Dec 2009 16:09:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
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		<description><![CDATA[Cenk Uyger makes a great case for the latter here:
The Irrefutable Stupidity of Sarah Palin  
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/cenk-uygur/the-irrefutable-stupidity_b_382213.html" target="_blank"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/mccainpalinbutton.jpg" title="mccainpalinbutton.jpg" alt="mccainpalinbutton.jpg" align="texttop" border="2" height="115" hspace="2" vspace="2" width="115" /></a>Cenk Uyger makes a great case for the latter here:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/cenk-uygur/the-irrefutable-stupidity_b_382213.html" target="_blank"><em>The Irrefutable Stupidity of Sarah Palin  </em></a></p>
<p>x</p>
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		<title>Glenn Beck is NOT Front Page News</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/02/glenn-beck-is-not-front-page-news/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/02/glenn-beck-is-not-front-page-news/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 16:14:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/12/02/glenn-beck-is-not-front-page-news/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’ve long been a current-events junkie. This is an addiction that for many years was very easily and efficiently maintained by staying up on the news through a couple of reliable sources, such as  through the  online versions of The LA Times, New York Times, and Wall Street Journal as well as National Public Radio. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/beck.jpg" title="beck.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/beck.jpg" title="beck.jpg" alt="beck.jpg" align="right" border="1" height="100" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="100" /></a>I’ve long been a current-events junkie. This is an addiction that for many years was very easily and efficiently maintained by staying up on the news through a couple of reliable sources, such as  through the  online versions of The LA Times, New York Times, and Wall Street Journal as well as National Public Radio. My main areas of interest are world events, entertainment, business, and Washington politics, pretty much in that order.  I don’t watch cable news or local news, but, oddly enough, I know a great deal about what’s being reported on television, primarily because of online sites such as <a href="http://mediamatters.org/" target="_blank">Media Matters</a>, <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/" target="_blank">Think Progess</a>, and <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/" target="_blank">The Huffington Post </a>to name a few.</p>
<p>While this has given me a great deal more insight and understanding as to why so many people are ill-informed and/or misinformed, it has given me a rash as well.</p>
<p>In the old days I was blissfully unaware of the positions held by pseudo-journalistic personalities such as Limbaugh, Coulter, Hannity, Beck, and Scarborough, and I was also largely oblivious of those I might tend more to agree with like Olbermann, Maddow, Cooper, or Brown.  For me, getting my news fix had nothing to do with the people presenting the news except in terms of a particular reporter’s expertise (such as NPR&#8217;s Cokie Roberts reporting on the Supreme Court).</p>
<p>There was a time when if someone told me something crazy like they “don’t trust the United States Census”  I would have fallen slack-jawed and silent with no ability to comprehend how anyone could have come up with the strange idea that the US Census could be something to be feared. In this case in particular, the person’s census statistics haven’t changed in any significant way since the last census 10 years ago, so their answers on the current census would be largely the same. Even so, the Census had somehow become something to be feared. Now that my awareness has been expanded to include television news, I no longer wonder how a person gets such a harebrained idea, because after being indoctrinated in the ways of disinformational media the answer is obvious. “You read Drudge or watch Fox News on a regular basis, don’t you?”</p>
<p>So while I appreciate that I no longer wonder about such things, I find myself in a constant state of perturbation over the unbelievable level of intentionally misleading “news” with which people of limited intelligence are bombarded every day. So do I thank the aggregators and online watchdogs for keeping me informed about what the dark side is up to (known thine enemy and all that) or blame them for my inability to resist watching Glenn Beck’s &#8220;education&#8221; rally or Ann Coulter’s latest hate-strewn interview? Seriously, those  two make me want to hurl my PC through the window, but I can’t stop myself from watching them, and just as I start to calm down, them what would keep me informed heat up another spoon of the stuff for me to mainline.</p>
<p>I know I’m not alone in this. I can tell from the comment sections of those same infuriating posts that this is wearing many of us down. The irony is that even as  I complain about people like Beck and Coulter getting far too much airtime, positing that if they weren’t given so much attention they wouldn’t be able to sway the sheep so easily, online news outlets are giving them more attention, and I, in turn, am giving them MY attention. And it doesn&#8217;t stop there. I occasionally am so outraged that I forward the link to my friends and colleagues, giving those same people who should be ignored even more attention!</p>
<p>I understand that we must remain vigilant against intolerance, fear, hate, and prejudice. I am thankful that I know what the real “evildoers” look like and that I know what they have to say, however, I have long been aware of the Ku Klux Klan and I don’t need to see interminable video of their cross-burning  events to maintain that awareness. I further understand that it’s my responsibility to filter what I allow in to my perception on a daily basis, but when The Huffington Post chooses to put headlines like: “Commandant Beck Not Joking Anymore”  on the front page, I find it easier to  look away from a bad car crash on the highway.</p>
<p>I know there’s a great deal of interest in this sort of thing just judging from the sheer number of comments such a post will garner, but it bothers me that news sources I&#8217;m addicted to which I expect to maintain their poise and position above the fray, sometimes fall victim to sensationalizing a story with its headlines, or worse, running a piece merely because of its outrageousness (such as anything Rush Limbaugh has to say).</p>
<p>I’m not in any way suggesting content be eliminated, but just as in the old days of newsprint journalism, certain stories deserve Page 1 status and others belong just before the Sports Section. For legitimate news, this continues to be a better rule of thumb than the TV news mantra, “If it bleeds, it leads.”</p>
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		<title>In Hollywood, There is No Such Thing as a Lone Gun</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/11/12/in-hollywood-there-is-no-such-thing-as-a-lone-gun/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/11/12/in-hollywood-there-is-no-such-thing-as-a-lone-gun/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 16:22:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Entertainment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[First published at The Huffington Post on November 12, 2009 
In his book, Outliers, Malcolm Gladwell makes a compelling case for the notion that the &#8220;self-made man&#8221; is a rare exception at best, but more often than not, a complete myth. Nowhere is this more true than in Hollywood.
Several months ago I started working with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-swadley/in-hollywood-there-is-no_b_354230.html" target="_blank"><em>First published at The Huffington Post on November 12, 2009 </em></a></p>
<p><a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/lone-gun.jpg" target="_blank" title="lone-gun.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/12/lone-gun.jpg" title="lone-gun.jpg" alt="lone-gun.jpg" align="right" border="1" height="214" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="220" /></a>In his book, <a href="http://www.gladwell.com/outliers/index.html" target="_blank">Outliers</a>, Malcolm Gladwell makes a compelling case for the notion that the &#8220;self-made man&#8221; is a rare exception at best, but more often than not, a complete myth. Nowhere is this more true than in Hollywood.</p>
<p>Several months ago I started working with a group of actors on what it takes to find consistent success in that vocation. The general principles apply to many chosen careers in the entertainment industry, but I wanted a challenge and seeing as how, in my mind anyway, acting is one of the most difficult professions to produce consistent results in, I felt that if any sort of road map could be developed it would be revelatory.</p>
<p>Anyone who wants to make it in the arts is confronted with an overwhelming number of &#8220;realities&#8221; (most of them harsh) that they must overcome in order to one day quit the Coffee Bean job and do their art full time. The first reality is this: No one, and I mean NO ONE, makes it all by themselves. This truth begins with the decision to pursue a career rife with roadblocks and remains so regardless of the level of success one achieves.</p>
<p>Like the old joke that the success of a musician is measured by his girlfriend&#8217;s take-home pay, short of getting someone else to cover the bills, anyone who wants to act must find a way to survive whilst knocking on doors that open only erratically. So most will need a &#8220;regular&#8221; job that allows enough flexibility to go on auditions during the day and attend classes and the occasional play in the evenings and on weekends. There are only a tiny handful of jobs that fit this description, so most soon find themselves the beneficiary of an understanding boss or helpful coworkers.</p>
<p>And so it begins. No lone gun ever traded shifts to make it to a last-minute Pop Tarts audition.</p>
<p>Once basic survival is covered with the help of those mentioned above, there&#8217;s the task of finding an agent and getting work. An actor can forward the ubiquitous headshot and resume to every agent, producer and casting person in town, but the likelihood that any of them will respond is slim-to-none unless someone else&#8217;s name is attached to their humble request for a meeting or audition. This is because the amount of blind requests these people get each week is so voluminous that the time it takes to sift through them all is just not available.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s all about filtering and it&#8217;s done all the time in many professions, but nowhere is filtering more pervasive than in Hollywood. Agents filter requests from new actors by requiring that they have certain types of credits, training and/or be referred by a current client. Likewise, producers and casting directors will often restrict audition submissions to actors with agents, sometimes only certain agents, or they may require that the actor be a member of the Screen Actor&#8217;s Guild. This is done to limit the number of submissions they receive from being in the thousands to being in the hundreds. Filtering as I&#8217;ve described is random and certainly unfair, but necessary lest the machine grind to a complete halt.</p>
<p>So in the beginning, before the actor&#8217;s name is a door-opener in and of itself, the game is less about who you are and more about who you know (which is the truth behind the old adage). So while it&#8217;s nice when an actor&#8217;s resume includes &#8220;University of Southern California&#8221; under Education, a note from esteemed USC alumnus, Will Ferrell will get everyone&#8217;s prompt attention.</p>
<p>This doesn&#8217;t mean that if one didn&#8217;t go to school with a famous comic actor or their father didn&#8217;t direct Apocalypse Now that there&#8217;s no hope. It also doesn&#8217;t mean that an actor needs to harass famous people all over the city for an introduction to the big time. This will likely only result in restraining orders. In fact, the process of being assisted by others in one&#8217;s career in this town is most effective and reliable with one&#8217;s peers. They&#8217;re the people who get together for a beer after work or class. The ones who are equally committed and driven to succeed. Those who might make it big one day and possibly become a &#8220;name&#8221; for you just as you will do for them if you get there first.</p>
<p>In my work I call it one&#8217;s &#8220;Personal/Professional Network,&#8221; but really they&#8217;re friends. More specifically, friends who happen to be pursuing a dream similar to one&#8217;s own. Remember that opportunities come not only from meeting people in the business and making professional connections as anyone pursing any worthwhile career does, but from developing deep, authentic friendships with like-minded individuals along the way.</p>
<p>Trace the path of any successful actor in Hollywood and it becomes clear very quickly that the many opportunities afforded to them came because someone they knew liked them enough to extend a hand. In turn, most of them reach back every now and then and give a lift to others who need a step up.</p>
<p>This is the way it&#8217;s always been, and how it will continue to be in Hollywood.</p>
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		<title>Eulogy for My Mom</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/05/eulogy-for-my-mom/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/05/eulogy-for-my-mom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 16:43:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/05/eulogy-for-my-mom/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My whole life I wanted to know “the answer.”  Never mind that I didn&#8217;t understand the question. 
What always gets me is how, just when I think I have a  good idea about the workings of life-as-we-know-it and things are going along pretty smoothly, something grabs me by the collar and says, “You know [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/10/momdad.jpg" title="momdad.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/10/momdad.thumbnail.jpg" title="momdad.jpg" alt="momdad.jpg" align="right" border="1" height="148" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="207" /></a><font>My whole life I wanted to know “the answer.”  Never mind that I didn&#8217;t understand the question. </font></p>
<p><font>What always gets me is how, just when I think I have a  good idea about the workings of life-as-we-know-it and things are going along pretty smoothly, something grabs me by the collar and says, “You know nothing!” </font></p>
<p><font>This is one of those times. </font></p>
<p><font>I had a conversation with my mom a few weeks ago about that she’d likely be  moving on from this phase of her life fairly soon.  At the time it struck me  that the only real difference between her and the rest of us was that she had a  little more information. She had been diagnosed with Stage-4 cancer. No one  knows when that big event will occur, and we live with a blind trust that it  won’t be anytime soon, and thereby live under the illusion that there is “plenty  of time.”  </font></p>
<p><font>Writers, artists, philosophers, scientists, the faithful and atheists  alike, have spent more time dwelling on the subject of mortality than any other  except maybe love.  Many who have gone before us and those who come after will  continue to ponder the mystery of life and death, and, as they always have, will  come to the same conclusion.  </font></p>
<p><font>Learning what’s really important in life doesn’t come easy. For most of us  it takes not much less than the mental equivalent of being hit over the head  with a 2&#215;4.  The realization comes differently for anyone who makes it:  The  birth of a child, the death of a parent, catastrophic life-altering events,  euphoric experiences that expand the spirit, any experience that raises our  awareness to a new level.  </font></p>
<p><font>I’m not sure how she got there, but my mom was one of the lucky ones who  understood and it’s so simple:  Surround yourself with love and laughter.   That’s the wisdom great thinkers have spent lifetimes uncovering that was second  nature to her. In terms of love, I think she would agree with the statement,  “Spend as much time as you can in the company of your loved ones.” </font></p>
<p><font>When she knew her time was limited, she didn’t run out and book a  cruise or schedule a whirlwind trip across the continents. She told us that all  she wanted to do was be in her home visiting with everyone. We all thought we  had many months in which to do this, and while we would gladly have taken many  more years, the little time we were given was put to good use in fulfilling that  desire for her and us. </font></p>
<p><font>During that time, just like it always had been in my family, we didn’t sit  around having serious discussions about sad inevitabilities. Nope.  We laughed  and laughed. As hardily and frequently as possible.  Even the day mom left us  the love and laughter continued to flow. My sister, Julie, said something that  day which moved everyone and is a perfect demonstration of what I’m talking  about. She said, “Oh my God! They dropped her. She’s on the sidewalk!”</font></p>
<p><font>Yes, it moved everyone. Into hysterics. My sister wasn’t playing a cruel  prank on us. She really thought the guys from the mortuary had dropped my mom as  they were taking her down the stairs. They hadn’t, not even close, but you can  imagine the images that popped into the minds of those of us who weren’t  standing at the window as my sister was.</font></p>
<p><font>This is how it’s always been in my family.  Not far behind tears of tragedy  follow the healing powers of laughter.  My mom’s dad, our Popa, is to this day  the funniest person I have ever known. My dad didn’t have the great gift for  humor that my grandfather possessed, but he could tell a good joke and was a  comic’s fantasy. He laughed so hard and loud and long that at times it could get  embarrassing. Especially if you were 14&#8230; Or my mom…</font></p>
<p><font>Mom had a keen  sense of humor (how could she not being raised by Pop?) but she was also very  classy and had a strong sense of decorum. As a result, her laugh was very  subtle, especially in contrast to my dad. Getting her to laugh out loud was a  major accomplishment. If you could get her to do so in public you were deserving  of a medal.  </font></p>
<p><font>During the weeks following her diagnosis, kids, grandkids, and one  seriously cute great-grandchild, literally enveloped her with their unwavering  devotion and humor. As she started to drift from us she was comforted by the  simple act of holding a hand and feeling the love conduct electrically between us. During this time, even when she was fading and could  barely speak,  she’d get a big smile on her face every time the conversation turned to a funny  old remembrance or a quick-witted pun.</font></p>
<p><font>Everyone who comes into our lives bears with them a lesson for us.  Often  the most profound of these lessons are borne by those with the simplest outlook  on life. My mom didn’t need to fill her days with activities and distractions  that only serve to “busy” our lives rather than enrich them. No, by filling her  days with love and laughter, and teaching that lesson to us throughout her life,  she not only gave of them freely, but they came back to her immeasurably.</font></p>
<p><font>In our pretense that life goes on forever, even though we’re faced every  day with the reality that exactly the opposite is true, we allow ourselves to  waste a great deal of time.  That’s why we must continually remind ourselves  what’s really important. What my mom knew. Her  wisdom about life is a part of  us. That wisdom is a gift to us for having been lucky enough to share this small  space of time with her.  </font></p>
<p><font>My mother, Shirlee Swadley, died Saturday at age 84 from lung cancer.  She didn’t suffer, didn’t linger, had no regrets, was surrounded by love, and  laughed with us ‘til the end. </font></p>
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		<title>The Problem with Facebook</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/02/the-problem-with-facebook/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/02/the-problem-with-facebook/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2009 16:25:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/10/02/the-problem-with-facebook/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Facebook is a good way to find people with whom you’ve unintentionally lost touch (if there is such a unintentionally losing touch) and keeping track of people with whom you’d rather not lose touch.  It’s also fun to look at photos of people on the other side of the world, their kids you’ve never met, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/10/facebook.jpg" title="facebook.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/10/facebook.jpg" title="facebook.jpg" alt="facebook.jpg" align="right" border="1" height="122" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="161" /></a>Facebook is a good way to find people with whom you’ve unintentionally lost touch (if there is such a unintentionally losing touch) and keeping track of people with whom you’d rather not lose touch.  It’s also fun to look at photos of people on the other side of the world, their kids you’ve never met, the friends that aren’t you, etc. Some take a particular sick pleasure in seeing exes who haven’t aged well. The problem with Facebook is that the people who swear by it think it’s much more than this, like a good way to communicate with your friends. Here’s why it’s nothing of the kind.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s say you&#8217;re an active Facebook user who has 100 &#8220;friends.&#8221; Of those 100 friends, lets assume a generous 10% of them check Facebook once a day or more. Further, let&#8217;s say that another very generous 40% of them check at least once each week without fail. On the other side, lets assume that 30% check irregularly, maybe once every two weeks or so, another 20% once a month, and 10% never return after creating their account. (I would assume  that last 10% is more like 30%, but we&#8217;re being generous here with presumed Facebook participation. Your results may vary.)</p>
<p>Okay, now let&#8217;s say you&#8217;re in the top 10% of people who visit daily or more and you decide you want to let all your friends know about something really important, like you&#8217;re being evicted and if all your friends sent you $25 each you could forestall the sheriff one more month. In the old days, you would have made some phone calls or written an e-mail making your request (people with more money, you meet for lunch), with confidence that your request has been heard and (probably) ignored by all. But this isn&#8217;t the old days. Now you just throw a post up on Facebook with the delusion that all your friends will read it right away and come to the rescue or not.</p>
<p>Using my generous participation percentages, you&#8217;ve just reached about 10 of your 100 friends immediately, 40 more within a week, and the rest eventually or not at all. Eviction is imminent.</p>
<p>The problem with Facebook is that it gives one the illusion that anyone is listening other than the other fanatics like you who spend their days surfing the web and posting ad nauseum on Facebook, which is nothing close to all the people you&#8217;d like to be in touch with on a regular basis.  Aside from the emergency scenario above, if one treats Facebook as their primary means of staying in touch, then a whole boatload of people are potentially neglected. People who would like to be included, but aren&#8217;t because they don’t have the time and/or inclination to participate on Facebook.</p>
<p>I don’t know if this will happen, but it seems to me that at some point a critical mass of Facebook members will realize that most people aren&#8217;t listening and Facebook will be replaced by whatever time-suck is next in line that convincingly gives the illusion of interpersonal connection.</p>
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		<title>HAPPY AVATAR DAY</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/08/21/happy-avatar-day/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/08/21/happy-avatar-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Aug 2009 00:39:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/08/21/happy-avatar-day/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today is the day of the big preview of Jim Cameron’s new film, Avatar . I was fortunate to get an early look at a special fifteen minute preview this morning and was completely blown away (in the interest of full disclosure, I work for the company responsible, 20th Century Fox).
I can’t say much because [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today is the day of the big preview of Jim Cameron’s new film, Avatar . I was fortunate to get an early <a href="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/08/avatar.jpg" title="avatar.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/08/avatar.jpg" title="avatar.jpg" alt="avatar.jpg" vspace="1" align="right" border="1" hspace="1" /></a>look at a special fifteen minute preview this morning and was completely blown away (in the interest of full disclosure, I work for the company responsible, 20th Century Fox).</p>
<p>I can’t say much because it really left me speechless, and words would fail miserably anyway. For Baby Boomers like me, think of the first time you saw Star Wars in the theater. Now multiply that experience by 1,000. That&#8217;s what seeing short bursts of Avatar felt like to me.  (For everyone else, maybe how you felt watching three other Cameron films: Terminator 2, Aliens, and Titanic.)</p>
<p>Whatever your frame of reference, I predict that the movies will never be the same again after Avatar hits the screens.</p>
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		<title>RICK SANCHEZ TAKES ON HEALTHCARE SCUMBAG RICK SCOTT</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/08/21/rick-sanchez-takes-on-healthcare-scumbag-rick-scott/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/08/21/rick-sanchez-takes-on-healthcare-scumbag-rick-scott/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Aug 2009 00:33:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
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		<title>In Hollywood, Nobody Still Knows Anything</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/06/23/in-hollywood-nobody-still-knows-anything/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/06/23/in-hollywood-nobody-still-knows-anything/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 15:27:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://s109784912.onlinehome.us/2009/06/23/in-hollywood-nobody-still-knows-anything/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[First published at the Huffington Post on June 22, 2009.
Working for a major studio and having friends at other studios, it&#8217;s hard to ignore the doom and gloom talk that pervades this business when the topic turns to feature films.
&#8220;Why would anyone go to the theater when they have HD at home?&#8221;
&#8220;Movies have to be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-swadley/in-hollywood-nobody-still_b_219145.html" target="_blank"><em>First published at the Huffington Post on June 22, 2009.</em></a></p>
<p><a href="http://s109784912.onlinehome.us/__oneclick_uploads/2009/06/hollywoodclapper1.jpg" title="hollywoodclapper1.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/06/hollywoodclapper1.jpg" title="hollywoodclapper1.jpg" alt="hollywoodclapper1.jpg" vspace="1" width="104" align="right" border="1" height="117" hspace="1" /></a>Working for a major studio and having friends at other studios, it&#8217;s hard to ignore the doom and gloom talk that pervades this business when the topic turns to feature films.</p>
<p class="entry_body_text">&#8220;Why would anyone go to the theater when they have HD at home?&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Movies have to be bigger than home theaters to get them to pay the ticket price.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s all about 3D!&#8221;</p>
<p>I shake my head and laugh to myself. Am I the only one who&#8217;s been paying attention to the last 50 years of film history? First television was going to kill the movies. Then it was color television that would be the end of feature films. Then people were going to stop buying tickets because of cable, then the VCR, the laserdisc, the DVD&#8230; and now&#8230; <strong>beware</strong>! <strong>HD is going to kill the feature the film!</strong></p>
<p>And the only way to save it is big, loud , and, something new, 3D!</p>
<p>Oh, wait, but there&#8217;s this movie that just opened two weeks ago. A comedy that&#8217;s already raked in $153 million in the US alone. You don&#8217;t have to wear glasses and nothing explodes (unless you count the bellows of laughter from the audience).</p>
<p><em>The Hangover</em> may be the funniest movie I&#8217;ve ever seen and I can tell you that Warner Brothers doesn&#8217;t need to spend another dime on marketing or advertising if they don&#8217;t want to, because an extremely high percentage of those 15 million or so people who have already seen it will tell there friends, coworkers, and family, &#8220;You must see <em>The Hangover</em>!&#8221;  Now. Not when it&#8217;s on HBO or Netflix has it. <strong>Now</strong>!</p>
<p>So are all those execs at the studios wrong? Can they get away with not spending hundreds of millions of dollars on every theatrical release from now on? Well yes and no. They must spend that kind of dough on production and marketing if they&#8217;re going to continue to make <strong>crap</strong> (and even so, crap in 3D is still crap).</p>
<p><em>The Hangover </em>is ridiculously successful for one reason and one reason only. It&#8217;s a <strong>good</strong> movie in every sense of the word. And I&#8217;ll bet there were plenty of executives, producers, and development people who turned it down or were certain it was destined for failure (and, in case you were wondering those are the people in the theater who are crying whilst everyone else is in hysterics).</p>
<p>The brilliant William Goldman&#8217;s assertion about show business that &#8220;nobody knows anything&#8221; is still true to this day. It&#8217;s both the frustration accompanying trying to work in this business and the hope that, as it always has, anything can happen.</p>
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		<title>The Hypocrisy of Those Who Have</title>
		<link>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/06/22/the-hypocrisy-of-those-who-have/</link>
		<comments>http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/2009/06/22/the-hypocrisy-of-those-who-have/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 16:08:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Swadley</dc:creator>
		
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://s109784912.onlinehome.us/2009/06/22/the-hypocrisy-of-those-who-have/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’m one of those people who hasn’t had to worry about health care for the past 25 years or more. I’ve always worked for companies that provided decent health insurance, and as monthly costs and out-of-pocket increased, my salary did as well. I continue to have no worries.
This is true for me. Now, put those [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://s109784912.onlinehome.us/__oneclick_uploads/2009/06/god-bless.jpg" title="god-bless.jpg"><img src="http://billswadleyblog.beyond8ball.com/__oneclick_uploads/2009/06/god-bless.jpg" title="god-bless.jpg" alt="god-bless.jpg" vspace="1" width="141" align="right" border="1" height="176" hspace="1" /></a>I’m one of those people who hasn’t had to worry about health care for the past 25 years or more. I’ve always worked for companies that provided decent health insurance, and as monthly costs and out-of-pocket increased, my salary did as well. I continue to have no worries.</p>
<p>This is true for me. Now, put those words in the mouth of every pundit and elected official speaking-out these days against healthcare reform. Of course they’re against it. They don’t need it and don’t care about those who do. Many of the politicians with the loudest voices railing against sweeping reforms are in the pockets of the insurance industry  to boot, so their vested interest in the status quo has no limit.</p>
<p>I live in California and have my entire life. I make a good living and don’t pay much state income tax (never have).  I watch year-after-year as a supposedly liberal state congress led by a usually conservative governor allow education and social services to suffer at the effect of budgetary deficiencies.</p>
<p>But raising taxes on the oil companies or the wealthiest individuals in the state (and there are a great many of them here) is entirely out of the question. Even though young teachers who have recently entered the teaching profession are losing their jobs. Even though education graduates have no prospects whatsoever as they exit even the best universities with high honors. Even though everyone is in agreement that a well-educated populace has a positive effect on absolutely every aspect of the quality of life of a community.</p>
<p>The mentally ill live a life of horror on the streets because the state no longer provides mental health facilities for them. They and the homeless whose ranks increase daily are left to the good graces of the private NGO’s who have seen their own revenues decline in the face of the current crisis.</p>
<p>Every state in the country is suffering along these lines. Many are much worse-off than California because they don’t have a ridiculously wealthy mother-lode of residents to even consider tapping.   But people like me and those running things in the state capitals and Washington haven’t felt any of this pain directly. We’re insulated and only see and feel what is demanded by our respective consciences.</p>
<p>We have our health insurance. If the public schools start to suck again the way they did in the past, we’ll put our kids in the private schools, just as we have before. We might give a little more to the Midnight Mission or make a contribution to our local school, but there is absolutely no substitute for political will.</p>
<p>And the conservative clowns on the right like Beck,  Hannity, and Limbaugh, along with the myopic  cynical, conservatives in politics like Schwarzenegger, Michael Steele, Olympia Snowe, and all the other usual suspects we come to know and despise, continue to decry any effort at taking  responsibility for those less fortunate. They call it socialism. Warn that we’ll be “like Canada or England” (I have friends who live in both countries, and, as shocking as it may seem, none of them are plotting their escape to the USA for some strange reason&#8230;)</p>
<p>Screw socialism, whatever happened to plain old human decency? I’m for that. Call it socialism or call it Bob for all I care.  I want everyone to feel the same sense of security I do about healthcare. I can pay a little more in taxes to keep the bright, young, teachers in my kids’ classrooms.  Let’s stop listening to those who have a not-so-hidden agenda in these matters and do what’s right for a change.</p>
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